"Making Rational Decisions Under Uncertainty and Model Complexity"


A Celebration in Honor of Professor James L. Beck's Career and Tenure at Caltech

Home About Jim Program Registration Venue and Lodging Organization Contact


Friday, February 3, 2017

9:00-9:30 am Breakfast/Coffee (Hameetman)
9:30-9:45 am Introduction (Judy Mitrani-Reiser)
9:45-11:30 am

Session 1: Bayesian Inference (Chairs: Alexandros Taflanidis, TBD)

(9:45-10:20 am) Ivan Au “Bayesian Operational Modal Analysis”
(10:20-10:55 am) Andrew Stuart “Blending Mathematical Models and Data”
(10:55-11:30 am) Stephen Wu “Information Transferability in a Bayesian
Uncertainty Quantification Perspective”
11:30 am-1:30 pm Lunch (Avery)
1:30-3:15 pm

Session 2: Seismology (Chair: Ayhan Irfanoglu, TBD)

(1:30-2:05 pm) Tom Heaton “Seismic Early Warning; So many Decisions … So
little Time”
(2:05-2:40 pm) Sarah Minson “Embracing Uncertainty in Earthquake Modeling”
(2:40-3:15 pm) Mark Simons “Lessons learned from the 2011 Mw 9.0 Tohoku-
Oki earthquake in northern Japan”
3:15-3:50 pm Coffee Break (Hameetman)
3:50-5:00 pm

Session 3: Performance Based Engineering (Chair: Stephen
Wu, TBD)

(3:50-4:25 pm) Ayhan Irfanoglu “Runaway Engineering: Performance-based
Earthquake Engineering”
(4:25-5:00 pm) Judy Mitrani-Reiser “Performance-Based Engineering: A
Framework for Assessing Critical Community Functions after
  Dinner - Ticket Required (235 Gates-Thomas)


Saturday, February 4, 2017

9:00-9:45 am Breakfast/Coffee (Hameetman)
9:45-11:30 am

Session 4: System Identification and Control (Chair: Ivan Au, TBD)

(9:45-10:20 am) Costas Papadimitriou “Bayesian Framework for Fault Identification
in Systems using Physics–Based Models”
(10:20-10:55 am) Keith Worden “Nonlinear System Identification: From Least-
Squares to ABC-SMC”
(10:55-11:30 am) Jeff Scruggs “Optimal Control of Vibratory Systems with Power Directionality Constraints”
11:30 am-1:30 pm Lunch (Avery)
1:30-3:15 pm

Session 5: Reliability Analysis/Design (Chair: Costas
Papadimitriou, TBD)

(1:30-2:05 pm) Kostia Zuev “Subset Simulation and Reliability of Critical
Infrastructure Networks: Recent Progress, New Applications, and
(2:05-2:40 pm) Hector Jensen “Reliability Sensitivity Analysis in the Context of
Reliability Based Design Optimization of Complex Systems”
(2:40-3:15 pm) Alexandros Tafanidis “On design under uncertainty: problem
formulation and recent advances in simulation-based optimization”
3:15-3:30 pm Closing Ceremony (TBD)